Snow on the way?

An Alberta Clipper gave us a nice dusting over the weekend. Very cold air and strong winds will follow. Gusts could get up to 50 m.p.h. today and real feel temperatures could be near zero. We should warm up a little bit to start the week and that will lead to some rain Wednesday, but Wednesday night the rain looks like it could mix with snow and sleet. Thursday looks like there could be some snow throughout the day with the precipitation ending Thursday night. It's hard to say how much snow to expect as of now, or even to say if it is going to happen. I refuse to make predictions this early, but Henry Margusity of Accuweather.com states that a 2-4" band of snowfall will fall from Richmond up toward Maine. Let's hope this holds true and let it snow.

Cold Air Looks to Stick Around; Now We Need a Storm

Cold weather looks like it is finally here to stay. We should stay well below normal from now through at the least mid-December. That being said, the weather pattern looks to be changing as well. Storms will start to gain moisture and head up the coast. When you put 2 and 2 together, our future looks bright for snow. We may see some minor snow this week, but nothing to fret about. I do not know when the snow will come, but the point is it's going to be very cold and any moisture will be snow in the early December time period. There is quite a large snowstorm showing up on the GFS model for Wednesday night (12/3) through Thursday (12/4). As of now the 5400 line or rain/snow line extends all the way down into southern Texas into Mexico and even into Louisiana. That is VERY COLD AIR!!! This does not mean that this will hold true, but there should be cold air. If you ask for snow amounts right now I'd call you crazy, but there are ways it can be done using some simple math. If the models were to be 100% correct currently, than the storm would drop somewhere between 8.2-11.475" of snow.
234-(15) .05-.101(15) @ 24 degrees F = 3/4 inch or 1 inch 240-(10) .175-0.25 (10) @ 32 degrees F=1.75-2.5" 252-(10) .375-.5 (10) @ 32 degrees F=3.75-5" 264-(17) 0.1-0.175 (17) @ 20 degrees F=1.7-2.975"Total snow amount is 8.2-11.475" of snow Wednesday December 3rd through Thursday December 4th. DO NOT GO BY THIS AMOUNT, HOWEVER, BECAUSE IT WILL CHANGE! Stay updated @ www.MarylandWx.net

Month of November Predictions

Days 1-15---The month will start off fairly mild and wet. We will see a decent amount of rainfall within the next few weeks. This week looks especially promising as it could rain Tuesday through Thursday. We will deal with a few more rain storms mid-month. The Baltimore area should stay close to or above average in terms of temperature until the start of next week, around the 9th or 10th. We may see another warm day or two a few days after that, but the point is come the 20th or so; We will start to see much cooler weather. The temperatures will go from 63/49 to 51/32. I believe we will start to see 40's being highs toward the end of the month. I also believe that we will have to discuss the possibility of snow in the latter part of this month, especially into December.

Almanac Predicts Very Snowy/Cold Winter For East

The 2009 Farmer's Almanac predicts a very harsh winter for the East coast. We are expected to see much more snow than normal and much more cold air than normal. Here is the official prediction from www.almanac.com .

Despite a mild November, this winter will be colder and snowier than normal, with near or above-normal precipitation. The coldest temperatures will occur in mid-December, early January, and early February. The snowiest periods will be in early and mid-December, early January, early and late February, and early March.

Hurricane Hanna to hit Maryland?

There is a good chance that Hurricane Hanna, or the remains of Hurricane Hanna will effect the region sometime this weekend. The direct track is unknown, but if Hanna makes landfall around the Maryland area, we could see a lot of rain. Residents are urged to stock up on supplies now. Flooding will be an issue for this storm! There may also be some problems with wind. MarylandWx will have an update tomorrow.

Big Snow End of Week?

The clipper is going on right now and here in Towson we have about 3 inches. This storm will get out of here as fast as it came, and give way to clear skies. We have to worry about significant icing, or significant snow Thursday night through Saturday. We have to watch very closely as this low approaches. Stay tuned!

Thursday Clipper?

Today's storm turned out to be yet another fluke. We got ripped off again, but atleast no one predicted it to be big this time. Just some flurries and light sleet pellets are all we got here in Towson. We do have a chance for another storm Wednesday night into Thursday. I believe that it will be a fairly small storm. It's a clipper that will drop down out of Canada and move rapidly to our area. Clippers do not generally give us a good snowfall, but our temperatures will be just so cold. That means snow ratios could be 20:1 or 30:1. That means for every inch of precipitation, there is 2o or 30 inches of snow. This allows much more snow to fall in a shorter time period. We had a clipper earlier in the year, and it actually gave us about 3-6 inches of snow. That is considered fairly good for a clipper. The GFS model is trying the take the clipper over our area, and then blow up a big coastal storm. This is not very likely, but there is always a chance. If this were to happen, we could see much more significant accumulations depending on the track. Keep you fingers crossed. The map is that of the GFS model showing today's storm exiting, and the possible clipper. Rain/Snow line is in blue.